Black Swan Impact of Highly Improbable

This is a new book. Condition: Brand New.

Everything you need to know about what you don't know

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans- the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

Book details and technical specifications

Format: Paperback / softback
ISBN13: 9780141034591
Published: February 2008

Number of pages: 480
Width: 130 mm
Height: 198 mm
Depth: 28 mm

Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd